1st ICAI 2020

International Conference on Automotive Industry 2020

Mladá Boleslav, Czech Republic

The Impact of the Development of Electric Mobility on Consumption of Electric Energy in the Czech Republic Radek Novák Česká spořitelna, a.s. Economic and Strategic Research Budějovická 1518/13b, Praha 4, 140 00 Czech Republic e-mail: radeknovak@csas.cz Abstract All the world’s large passenger car manufacturers are investing heavily in the development and production of alternative-drive cars nowadays. Electricity is at the forefront, whether in the form of hybrid cars or purely electric cars. Stricter CO 2 emission standards will be fully applicable in the EU for cars placed on the market from 2021. Thus, electric vehicles will become more widespread in regular traffic. This development will also affect both the stability of the electricity transmission network and all countries’ energy balances in the long run. The aim of this paper is to estimate the number of passenger electric cars that will be operated in the Czech Republic over the next twenty years (in 2030 and 2040) and at the same time to predict the impact of their operation on electricity consumption in the Czech Republic. The paper also includes an overview of the overall electricity production and consumption outlooks for the Czech Republic, taking into account the increased demand for electricity from electric car users. Keywords: Czech Republic, electric vehicles, energy, mobility, outlook JEL Classification: L62, L91, L94, Q41, R41 1. Introduction Registrations of new automobiles operating on alternative fuels are presently just a few tenths of a percent of all cars in the Czech Republic. In the last six months, according to statistics from the Czech Car Importers Association, Czech consumers mainly bought alternative-fuel cars using compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquified petroleum gas (LPG). Six hundred thirty-six new fully electric cars (battery electric vehicles, or BEVs) were registered in the Czech Republic in 2019 (Car Importers Association, 2020, a). In addition, 470 new plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs), that is, vehicles that have both a combustion engine and batteries that can be charged from an external source of electrical energy, were registered in the Czech Republic. New, fully electric passenger cars were 0.3% of total new-car registrations and new plug-in hybrids were 0.2% of the total. The total number of battery electric vehicles registered in the Czech Republic is estimated by the Car Importers Association at 3,200 in 2019 (Ministry of Industry and Trade, 2019). This includes both new cars registered in the Czech Republic and used cars imported from abroad. Fully battery electric cars constituted 0.05% of the entire fleet of passenger cars in the Czech Republic in 2019.

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